About Me and My Work
My name is Gabriel Collins. I’m a water, commodity, and national security geek who has been lucky enough to grow up around the Texas and New Mexico oilfield, get educated at prime institutions with carnivorous mascots (A.B. from Princeton and J.D. from the University of Michigan), and work several cool jobs in government, finance, law, and at the premier global energy & resource think-tank where I am thrilled to be today.
Interesting policy ideas only become useful when they are maximally accessible to action-oriented minds, be they voters and engaged citizens, commercial operators, fellow policy scholars, agency staff, or elected officials. In that spirit of openness and exchange, I hope you find the site useful! Enjoy!
Views and opinions expressed herein are exclusively my own.
Why Focus on Eurasia? Events across Eurasia and regional powers’ interactions with the United States will shape the 21st century. The U.S. is physically located in North America but has deep interests across Eurasia, to the point that multiple U.S. National Security Strategies characterize the U.S. as both an Indo-Pacific and European power.
Key Research Themes: Energy security, geoeconomic competition, climate & energy transition dynamics, the food-energy-water nexus, and national security.
My work focuses on the linkages of energy with regional economic prosperity, national power projection, food and water access, and national security. Among key challenges to address are:
- Cold War 2.0 between the U.S. and China is intensifying and decoupling is accelerating;
- China’s deliberate progress on controlling supply chains for advanced energy technologies;
- China’s “one belt-one road” initiative and the associated physical and digital infrastructure;
- Russia has launched the largest industrial war since 1950, which has contributed heavily to the largest energy supply disruption since 1973; and
- Great power competition has reignited and now reaches a level not felt for two generations.
The complexity of these tectonic shifts, and other emerging stresses, demands interdisciplinary analysis.
New Eurasian Century Underway
Eurasia accounts for nearly 2/3 of global energy use (fossil and low-carbon alike), 60% of staple grains consumption, 45% of defense spending, and almost 80% of semiconductor sales revenues. The region has been the global center of gravity for energy market developments over the last three decades, and it has significant bearing on global demographic, economic, natural resource, technological, and military developments.
Renewed Great Power competition means that the actions of China, Russia, and their Eurasian neighbors will reverberate around the world—including in Africa and Latin America. What happens in Eurasia and how regional powers interact with the United States will shape the 21st century. The U.S. is physically located in North America but has deep interests across Eurasia, so deep, in fact, that multiple U.S. National Security Strategies characterize the U.S. as both an Indo-Pacific and European power.
Eurasian relationships are rich and multidirectional and can re-align with extraordinary speed. China and Russia’s centuries-old relationship is marked by cycles of fear and temporary bonds of common cause, and has been anything but stable. The astounding growth of China, and the energy and natural resource wealth of Russia, place these two neighbors in an interesting, potentially symbiotic relationship that will shape the future of Eurasia and the World. If we also consider the technoeconomic dynamos of Japan and South Korea, as well as the textile and manufacturing powerhouses of Southeast Asia, Eurasia is resuming its historic role as a central driver of global economic and strategic outcomes.

Posts
- Blackout Warfare: Defeating Russia's Strategic Assault on Ukraine’s Electricity Grid (December 12, 2025)
- Barrels and Bombs: How Does Oil Fund Russia's War Machine? (November 23, 2025)
- Fentanyl, Rare Earths, Chips, and Climate Change: China's Strategic Manipulation Playbook (October 30, 2025)
- A New Era of Energy Warfare (October 24, 2025)
- Will Great Power Competition Yield a Nuclear Renaissance? (October 10, 2025)
- China Builds an Energy Fortress (October 9, 2025)
- China Mobilizes Its Energy Sector For Great Power Competition and Global Disorder (October 2, 2025)
- Physical Sanctions Versus Paper Sanctions: Ukraine’s Strike Campaign Against Russia’s Oil Industry (September 26, 2025)
- Permian Basin: The Next AI Data Center Frontier (August 18, 2025)
- Three Ways the Alaska Summit May Undermine Ukraine Peace Efforts and U.S. Interests (August 9, 2025)
- Comparing Water and Electricity Load Growth in Texas (August 5, 2025)
- Is Nuclear Deterrence Eroding in the Face of Proliferating Conventional Deep Strike Capabilities? (June 1, 2025)
- Cross Texas Water Grid: Key Challenges and Economic Costs (May 23, 2025)
- Food-Water-Energy Nexus in the Arabian Gulf (May 15, 2025)
- Potential Energy & Food Consequences of Indus Waters Treaty Suspension (May 11, 2025)
- Small Modular Nuclear Reactors for Desalination and Reliable Electricity in the Permian Basin (May 9, 2025)
- America Should Lead the Fight Against Global Energy Poverty (March 21, 2025)
- 10 Geoeconomic Strategies for Critical Minerals Security (March 20, 2025)
- Energy Poverty and Water Driven Mortality (March 6, 2025)
- Powerful New Data and Insights on Investments in Mexico by China-Linked Entities (March 4, 2025)
- Prospective Costs and Consequences of Insufficient Water Infrastructure Investment in Texas (November 23, 2024)
- How Floating LNG Can Aid Cuba's Electricity Issues (October 20, 2024)
- Energy Stockpiling as A China Strategic Warning Indicator (October 16, 2024)
- 10 Key Dimensions of a Resilient Global Energy Transition (October 9, 2024)
- Geothermal Energy in Alaska: A Strategic Opportunity (October 7, 2024)
- Food and Crude: Biofuels Expansion and the Energy-Food-Water Nexus (September 19, 2024)
- Earthmover Usage Reflects Stagnation in China's Economy (September 18, 2024)
- Energy and Food Abundance: A Strategic Vision for The Next 50 Years of Prosperity (September 14, 2024)
- Hold the Line Through 2035: A Better Strategy For Competition With China (August 30, 2024)
- Asian Countries To Lead Global Energy Transitions in 2024 and 2025 (August 23, 2024)
- A Better Ukraine Electricity Strategy (August 16, 2024)
- An Electricity Strategy for Long War in Ukraine (July 2, 2024)
- Energy Stockpiling as A China Strategic Warning Indicator (June 17, 2024)
- Thinking About Global Energy Transitions in the 2020s (January 17, 2024)
- It’s Time for the US to Take Out Hezbollah and Houthi Anti-Ship Missiles (December 5, 2023)
- Great Power Rivalry & Evolving Risks For Multinational Corporations (November 27, 2023)
- Beijing's Bloodless Takeover of Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industry and How to Stop It (September 29, 2023)
- China-Russia Strategic Cooperation: Dangerous Impacts in the Arctic and North Pacific (August 9, 2023)
- US LNG Is a National Security Asset (August 7, 2023)
- Want an Electric Pickup to Tow Like a Ford F-250? You’ll Need a Battery That Weighs As Much As An F-150 Raptor (July 18, 2023)
- Russia’s Missile & Drone Strikes on Ukraine: 10 July 2023 Update (July 10, 2023)
- Military Support for Ukraine–Some Historical Perspective (June 28, 2023)
- China Is Now Producing More Coal Than Ever (And Probably, The Highest Level in Human History) (April 27, 2023)
- Competition First? Anchoring U.S. Climate & Energy Strategy Amidst Geostrategic Competition With China (February 15, 2023)
- Holding The Line Against China's Revisionist Threat: The Next 12 Years (February 14, 2023)
- Putin’s Ukraine Invasion: Turbocharging Sino-Russian Collaboration in Energy, Maritime Security, and Beyond? (February 13, 2023)
- U.S. Should Urgently Transfer 10% of Its M1 Abrams Stocks to Ukraine (February 3, 2023)
- Ukraine Needs Long-Range Firepower for Victory (January 6, 2023)
- COP27, Eurasia, and the Energy Transition Valley of Death (December 7, 2022)
- The Global Energy Transition's Looming Valley of Death (November 28, 2022)
- <strong>U.S. Corporations and China-Taiwan War Risk</strong> (October 24, 2022)
- 16 Rapidly Implementable Policy Options to Help Taiwan Win Through Denial (October 19, 2022)
- Will France Unlock the Door to an Iberian Express Gas Pipeline? (October 18, 2022)
- Long-Range Ukrainian Kamikaze Drones Would Raise Costs of Russia's Infrastructure War (October 14, 2022)
- Preparing for Long Wars and Great Power Competitions: Lessons from Ukraine (October 4, 2022)
- It's Not Just About Guns and Rockets–American Gas, Oil, and Grains Also Make Key Security Contributions (October 3, 2022)
- <strong>Energy Security in the Atlantic and Pacific: Can LNG Meet the Gathering Storm</strong> (September 30, 2022)
- U.S. Military Assistance to Ukraine in Perspective (September 29, 2022)
- 9 Potential U.S./NATO Responses if Russia Uses Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine (September 26, 2022)
- U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine Now Exceeds $14 Billion Since August 2021 (September 16, 2022)
- Is China Militarizing Its Oil and Gas Security Policies? (September 15, 2022)
- <strong>Gas Geoeconomics Essential to Win the “Long War” In Ukraine—And Asia</strong> (September 12, 2022)
- Bear, Meet Porcupine: Unconventional Deterrence for Ukraine (January 4, 2022)
- Can America Trust China to Fight Climate Change? (August 19, 2021)
- Technological Diversity is the Better Approach to Energy Addition and Transition Efforts (August 19, 2021)
- Is an Oil Blockade Against China Viable? (August 19, 2021)
Pages
- Eurasia Energy, Food, Water, and Security Quarterly™ (August 23, 2025)
- Archive (September 14, 2024)
- Energy and Water Research, With Special Focus On Eurasia (January 22, 2024)
- Research Products (January 22, 2024)
