Academic papers, working papers, and research reports
This curated bibliography collects publicly released scholarly and policy research authored or coauthored by Gabriel Collins. Each entry links to the authoritative publisher record and, where available, its persistent DOI. The list is a selection of 2024–2026 work, not a complete curriculum vitae. Publication dates below are original publisher dates, not republication dates on this portal.
Explore the Research Master Index for the full site-wide article inventory, the Research Products hub for topic collections, or browse the archive. The publisher pages link to the official PDFs and related materials where available.
2026 publications
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How Declining Oil Production Could Weaken Russia’s Geopolitical Power
Authors: Gabriel Collins. Published: June 16, 2026. Type: Issue brief. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Explains how structural declines in Russian oil output could constrain fiscal resources, military power, and geopolitical influence.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/1THP-7004
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China’s Strait of Hormuz Oil Security and Escalation Playbook
Authors: Gabriel Collins. Published: May 6, 2026. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Examines China’s Gulf crude oil exposure and potential diplomatic, logistical, economic, and military responses to disrupted supply.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/D8KB-H554
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Wars and Pipelines: How Armed Conflict Has Driven Oil Logistics Diversification
Authors: Gabriel Collins. Published: April 9, 2026. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Studies how conflict and chokepoint disruptions have motivated the development of alternative oil transport routes.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/VSN3-ZT23
2025 publications
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AI Geoeconomics: Allied Electricity and Secure Data Centers
Authors: Gabriel Collins and Christopher Bronk. Published: December 18, 2025. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Explores the strategic linkage between trusted computing infrastructure, power grids, and allied geopolitical influence.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/T8RH-7H63
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Could the Permian Basin Become America’s Next AI Data Hub?
Authors: Gabriel Collins. Published: August 15, 2025. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Assesses opportunities and infrastructure requirements for locating energy-intensive AI data centers in the Permian Basin.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/CDF1-4006
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Small Modular Reactors for Nuclear Desalination and Cogeneration in the Permian Basin
Authors: Gabriel Collins. Published: May 7, 2025. Type: Research paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Investigates nuclear process heat and electricity for produced-water treatment and associated industrial uses.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/M0CA-RR71
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US Needs More Munitions To Safeguard Seaborne Energy and Goods Trade
Authors: Kai Hartman and Gabriel Collins. Published: April 11, 2025. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Considers maritime trade security and the defense-industrial capabilities needed to protect seaborne energy and goods flows.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/JY4E-D537
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Critical Minerals and Materials Geoeconomics: Lessons and Ideas From Past Wars and Strategic Competitions
Authors: Gabriel Collins and Michelle Michot Foss. Published: March 19, 2025. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Draws strategic lessons from earlier wars and industrial rivalries for U.S. critical minerals and materials security.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/084W-XS50
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Quantifying Investments in Mexico by China-Linked Entities
Authors: Gabriel Collins, Tony Payan, and David A. Gantz. Published: January 30, 2025. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Estimates the geographic footprint and scale of Chinese-linked manufacturing and infrastructure investments across Mexico.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/RRV4-8046
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Prospective Costs and Consequences of Insufficient Water Infrastructure Investment in Texas
Authors: Gabriel Collins. Published: January 27, 2025. Type: Commissioned report. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy (commissioned by Texas 2036).
Examines economic costs and prospective risks arising from underinvestment in Texas water infrastructure.
2024 publications
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Ukraine’s Electricity Sector: Urgency and Resilience in a Time of War
Authors: Gabriel Collins and Kenneth B. Medlock III. Published: August 14, 2024. Type: Working paper. Publisher: Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.
Analyzes wartime vulnerabilities in Ukraine’s electricity system and options to build a more resilient grid.
Original publisher record and full text · DOI: 10.25613/BC9H-J996
How to cite these publications
Cite the original publisher version shown in each entry, using its exact author list, title, date, and DOI where one exists. This index is a discovery guide, not a separate publication of these papers. Google Scholar eligibility and citation grouping are determined by Google and cannot be guaranteed by listing a publication here.